Thesis

Comparison of Epidemiology Curve of Covid-19 between Indonesia and Neighbouring Countries (Australia and Malaysia) and Factors affecting it

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Since Firstly in early March, the Covid-19 has rapidly spread out in Indonesia, impacting significantly on health, social, and economic condition and causing a large number of fatalities. This study aims to describe the epidemiology curve of Indonesia in comparison with neighboring countries, Australia and Malaysia, along with the possible factors affecting the curve. This Study employs the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model to portray the disease development in Indonesia from the emergence to the end period projection. The result shows that up to the end of July, the epidemic curve in Indonesia seems to Continue to elevate despite the Measures taken by the goverment. Meanwhile, in Australia and Malaysia, as a comparison, the curve has shown a flattening trend and bell-shaped epidemic curve with much lower fatalities. Based on the SIR model estimation for the Indonesian case, to achieve a bell-shaped epidemic curve it takes much longer time. From the information gathered, the shape of the curve is determined by several factors, including biological factor, environmental condition, demographic condition, strictness of measure implementation and social attitude towards pandemic awareness. Nevertheless, it is worth noting that the study uses COVID-19 date up to the en of July.

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Availability

Detail Information

Series Title

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Call Number

BM 21-002

Publisher

Jakarta : i3L, Jakarta., 2021

Collation

xiii; 93p; 30cm;illus

Language

English

ISBN/ISSN

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Classification

BM 21-002

Content Type

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Media Type

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Carrier Type

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Edition

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Subject(s)

Covid-19
Government-measures
epidemiology curve
SIR Model
Comparative study

Specific Detail Info

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Statement of Responsibility

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